I’m only briefly near WiFi. Today is (mostly) a day of being off grid. However, there’s much I’d like to discuss. If I wrote it out, I’d wind up typing for hours. Fuck that… it’s sunny out. So instead I’m going to link to images and limit myself to “captions”. I encourage you to follow the links to get the whole story.
I want to make one small point… all three sets of images are information with huge, massive, large, import. None of these are “beating around the bush” or “could be a rounding error”. They’re real and they’re spectacular.
Lets start with good news, COVID is really bad at killing people. This image is from Two utterly fascinating facts about COVID:
This is infection fatality rate. Meaning you don’t even have to roll the dice until after you get COVID.
I figure people suck at math and they’ve been marinating in fear for over a year now. I made a chart from the above data. If you’re 50 and if you get COVID this is what happens:
Yeah, it sucks to get sick and die… but just look at the goddamn chart. The whole friggin world has spent a year and a half going apeshit over that tiny red sliver. COVID is not the Black Death. If you’ve ever walked across a street, ridden a bicycle, or eaten a Big Mac you’ve survived risk like that.
My next image is from Vox Popoli’s Pandemic of the Vaccinated. Before you look at the chart, lets review. If a population of people do something that has nothing to do with COVID, such as sticking a banana in their ass, their portion of cases should be exactly the same as the population as a whole. If 20% of the population shoves a banana in their ass, 20% of COVID cases should be banana people.
People with the vaccine should have less COVID than people without. By a lot. I can’t believe I even have to say that. That’s the whole point.
Look at that chart. Look at it!
In Israel, the vaccine is literally worse than doing nothing. It’s not harmless like a banana in your ass. It’s worse! We have governments forcing people to do something that’s worse than just sitting on your couch doing nothing!
There’s absolutely no reason a vaccine should be worse than a fuckin banana!
The next image is also from Vox Popoli: Fake Votes, Fake President: Again, lets talk about the math. The blue column is Biden’s margin of victory in Arizona. The red columns are serious vote discrepancies in one county. No matter how you slice it, the blue column isn’t even close. The red columns are huge. They overpower every tiny hint that the blue column matters.
One can argue about a vote here and a vote there… but this is over a quarter million votes. This isn’t close. This isn’t “I can see both sides”. This isn’t “photo finish”. This isn’t “I need to further consider the situation”. This is huge, obvious, and undeniable.
These aren’t close calls.
It’s one thing to argue about half a percent of a fraction of a vote in one county on a Tuesday. But a quarter million in one county verses a ten thousand margin isn’t anywhere near close. It’s a statically obvious situation that even your goldfish should understand. It’s nuts that we have to even discuss it.
Same with COVID. If something is profoundly dangerous you’ll fuckin’ know. You don’t need to be told to stay out of the wrong neighborhood or to avoid stuffing a rattlesnake in your pants. You know! A year of global disruption and a tiny sliver on a pie chart don’t go together.
Same with the vaccine. A worthwhile vaccine is obvious. Nobody doubts Jonas Salk’s vaccine. He nuked Polio from orbit. Meanwhile, Israel is coming up with worse than nothing on a nationwide mandatory deployment of an experimental blah blah blah. A COVID vaccine should never be worse than nothing. Worse than nothing shouldn’t even be within the range of possibilities for any medical procedure and especially for one that addresses a tiny little red silver on a pie chart.
That’s the ABSOLUTELY BEST explanation of the whole situation!
THANKS for putting it all together.
https://www.realclearscience.com/authors/buzz_hollander_md/
Interesting perspective from a physician re current state of Covid
I’ve got to say that I’ve tried to explain the statistics a bunch of times, but I never thought of the “banana up your ass” illustration. Genius. Weird, but vivid, and that makes it work.
The worst part of the Covid nonsense and the thing that has scared me the most has never been the virus; it has been the reaction to the virus. For the first time in history, instead of quarantining the sick, we’ve quarantined everyone. We’ve sacrificed a generation of children to keep 80 year olds alive. It’s insane.
If this was Ebola or smallpox or something with an IFR over 80%, that’s one thing, but a respiratory virus with those kinds of numbers? Insane is too mild a word.
I agree. Insane is inadequate to the behavior of 2020… which is still ongoing in the 21st month of 2020.
People can no longer assess risk. That’s it. They let the nightly news do that for them. In the town where I live 224 people have died from COVID-out of 40,000 confirmed cases. My math may be wrong, but I read that as a .005 percent mortality rate. So we’re supposed to wear masks and be locked down for that? I understand other places have a higher mortality, but still-is 5%? 10%?
http://twowheeledmadwoman.blogspot.com/2021/09/here-are-real-numbers.html
Indiana is a pretty conservative state and Roberta is definitely not a liberal. Are vaccines perfect? Hell no but when we look back in a few years my guess is that they’ll be about 50% effective to get covid and those that do get “break through” covid are 75% less likely to get severe/fatal covid complications. Am I vaccinated? Yes mainly because my wife has major health complications. Do I insist you get vaccinated? No unless your going to be around my wife and since she is bedridden pretty sure you won’t be driving the Honey badger over to see her.
The graphic she offers sure seems more in keeping with expectations than the one I have from Israel. It leaves out the percentage of the population that has the Vax (and no mention of bananas) so we’re left to infer if the vax does good or is rare overalls but it seems reasonably good news from the incomplete Indiana data.
I’d like to think the vax does good (or at least more good than bad) but with an ailment as weak and “unrisky” as Covid it’s hard to get the statistical signal. It might not even meet the technical definition of “vaccine” that even the CDC used back in “the before times” of 2019. Imagine other low percentage risks and statistical detections: Does the presence of a green tree air freshener or a different kind of brake pad change the odds of a Toyota getting T-boned on a Tuesday in Pennsylvania? That sort of thing.
I hope you and your wife do well. You’re making rational choices and that’ll help. Good for you.
Also, I promise I won’t show up on my dirt bike and do donuts in your lawn. 🙂 Take care.
Do donuts to your heart’s content I won’t have to mow then.
All of us who live in AZ know it waS A RIGGED outcome.
It an uneasy world where almost everyone (on both sides!) either knows or suspects shenanigans but we’re supposed to pretend we didn’t notice. I’ll say it here for the record, the king has no clothes.
On an entirely different note Gerald the trans MMA fighter is actually real…. Transgender MMA fighter who used to be in special forces wins debut https://mol.im/a/9982603 via http://dailym.ai/android
You have powers beyond space and time… M
Behold the power of bullshit! It’s hard trying to make up ridiculous shit faster than our batshit society makes the ridiculous into reality. At least I got it on my blog before it happened even if I didn’t finish the book yet.